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Socio - economic and demographic determinants of fertility in six selected Pacific Island Countries: an empirical study

Lal, Sumeet and Singh, Rup and Makun, Keshmeer and Chand, Nilesh and Khan, Mohsin (2021) Socio - economic and demographic determinants of fertility in six selected Pacific Island Countries: an empirical study. PLoS ONE, 16 (9). TBC. ISSN 1932-6203

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Abstract

In this study, we seek to perform macro analysis of fertility in a panel of 6 selected Pacific Island Countries (PICs, hereafter). The macro analysis with secondary data, mostly obtained from World Bank database, stretched over the period 1990–2019 was stacked randomly in a balanced panel set-up, within which the most preferred fixed effect model is used for multivariate analysis. Pooled OLS and Random effect estimation techniques were applied for comparing results. Categories such as women’s empowerment, health, connectivity and cost of living were used to classify proxy variables as regressors for fertility determination. The results indicate variables such as contraceptive prevalence rate, female labour force participation rate and consumer price index (inflation) are negatively correlated with fertility at 1% level, while urbanisation is negatively correlated with fertility rate only at 10% significance level. Real GDP has negative relationship with fertility, however it is not statistically significant. Variables that are positively correlated with fertility but hold limited to no significance effects are female secondary enrolment, female population, mobile subscription and infant mortality rate. It is implied that those variables that are negatively associated with fertility, as well as Real GDP will be the major drivers for achieving replacement level fertility in the long run.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General)
H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
Divisions: School of Accounting, Finance and Economics (SAFE)
Depositing User: Fulori Nainoca - Waqairagata
Date Deposited: 15 Nov 2021 05:35
Last Modified: 20 Sep 2022 22:15
URI: http://repository.usp.ac.fj/id/eprint/13118
UNSPECIFIED

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