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Implications of climate change in small Island developing countries of the South Pacific

Lal, Murari (2004) Implications of climate change in small Island developing countries of the South Pacific. Fijian Studies: A Journal of Contemporary Fiji, 2 (1). pp. 15-35. ISSN 1728-7456

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Abstract

This paper examines climate change in the South Pacific Island Region. It looks at the increases in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases and aerosols as inferred from coupled atmosphere- ocean global climate models. The surface temperature at the end of this century is estimated to be 2.5&#730;C more than the 1990 level. Seasonal variations of projected warming are minimal. No significant change in diurnal temperature range is likely with rise in surface temperatures. An increase in mean temperature would be accompanied by an increase in the frequency of extreme temperatures. The models simulate only a marginal increase or decrease (<10%) in annual rainfall over most of the Small Island Nations. During summer more rainfall is likely while an increase in daily rainfall intensity causing more frequent and heavier rainfall events is also likely. The paper also looks at some implications of climate change in the region.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
Divisions: Pacific Centre for Environment and Sustainable Development (PACE-SD)
Depositing User: Ms Neha Harakh
Date Deposited: 30 Apr 2004 18:28
Last Modified: 07 May 2012 18:07
URI: http://repository.usp.ac.fj/id/eprint/3073
UNSPECIFIED

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