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Application of cooperative neuro - evolution of Elman recurrent networks for a two - dimensional cyclone track prediction for the South Pacific region

Chandra, Rohitash and Dayal, Kavina and Rollings , Nicholas (2015) Application of cooperative neuro - evolution of Elman recurrent networks for a two - dimensional cyclone track prediction for the South Pacific region. [Conference Proceedings]

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    Abstract

    This paper presents a two-dimensional time series prediction approach for cyclone track prediction using cooperative neuro-evolution of Elman recurrent networks in the South Pacific region. The latitude and longitude of tracks of cyclone lifetime is taken into consideration for past three decades to build a robust forecasting system. The proposed method performs one step ahead prediction of the cyclone position which is essentially a two-dimensional time series prediction problem. The results show that the Elman recurrent network is able to achieve very good accuracy in terms of prediction of the tracks which can be used as means of taking precautionary measures.

    Item Type: Conference Proceedings
    Additional Information: DOI: 10.1109/IJCNN.2015.7280394
    Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
    Divisions: Faculty of Science, Technology and Environment (FSTE) > School of Geography, Earth Science and Environment
    Faculty of Science, Technology and Environment (FSTE) > School of Engineering and Physics
    Depositing User: Rohitash Chandra
    Date Deposited: 10 Mar 2016 15:25
    Last Modified: 03 Jun 2016 15:41
    URI: http://repository.usp.ac.fj/id/eprint/8435
    UNSPECIFIED

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