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The effects of ICT* on output per worker: A study of the Chinese economy

Kumar, Ronald R. and Stauvermann, P.J. and Samitas, Aristeidis (2016) The effects of ICT* on output per worker: A study of the Chinese economy. Telecommunications Policy, 40 (2-3). pp. 102-115. ISSN 0308-5961

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Abstract

In this paper, we explore the short-run and long-run contribution of five indicators of information and communication technology (ICT*) on economic growth of China over the sample period 1980–2013. We use the augmented Solow (1956) framework, the ARDL bounds (Pesaran, Shin, & Smith, 2001) approach to cointegration and the Toda and Yamamoto (1995) granger non-causality tests to examine the possible linkages. The results show evidence of long-run association among level variables for all the indicators of ICT*. From the results, we also note that all the indicators of ICT* have a positive and statistically significant elasticity coefficient ranging from 0.010 to 0.080. From the Granger causality results, we note bidirectional causality between mobile cellular, telecommunication and economic growth; and between mobile cellular, telecommunication and capital per worker, respectively. Other results indicate that fixed broadband cause capital accumulation; capital accumulation causes internet technology. We also note bidirectional causality between mobile cellular and telecommunication, and between fixed broadband and internet, respectively; and a unidirectional causality from internet and fixed broadband to hi-tech exports; and from mobile cellular and telecommunication to fixed broadband, respectively. From the overall results, within caveats, we highlight that while all the indicators of ICT* are imperative for long-run growth, besides capital per worker, the dominant technology drivers are mobile cellular and telecommunications technology.

Item Type: Journal Article
Additional Information: Article published online in 2015 and volume and pagination assigned in 2016. Updated 2016 version submitted.
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HA Statistics
H Social Sciences > HE Transportation and Communications
Divisions: Faculty of Business and Economics (FBE) > School of Accounting and Finance
Faculty of Business and Economics (FBE)
Depositing User: Ronald Kumar
Date Deposited: 07 Mar 2016 03:53
Last Modified: 07 Mar 2016 03:53
URI: http://repository.usp.ac.fj/id/eprint/8743

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