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Knowns, unknowns and unknown unknowns in the 2014 Fiji election results

Baker, Nicola and Nakagawa, Haruo (2015) Knowns, unknowns and unknown unknowns in the 2014 Fiji election results. The Journal of Pacific Studies, 35 (2). pp. 115-128. ISSN 1011-3029

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With no data on voter ethnicity, no exit polls, and few post-election analyses, the 2014 Fiji election results remain something of a mystery. This study examines what the erstwhile US Secretary of Defence, Donald Rumsfeld, called the ‘known knowns’, in this case the voting results, and the ‘known unknowns’ of voter ethnicity and motivation. It concludes that any definitive analysis of Taukei electoral choices is currently impossible, not just because there is insufficient polling data but because of the ‘unknown unknowns’ of the dynamics within and between Fiji’s many customary communities.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: J Political Science > JA Political science (General)
Divisions: Faculty of Business and Economics (FBE) > School of Government, Development and International Affairs
Depositing User: Nicola Baker
Date Deposited: 07 Oct 2016 00:15
Last Modified: 20 Oct 2016 03:05

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