The economic impact of the lifting of sanctions on tourism in Iran: a computable general equilibrium analysis

Pratt, Stephen and Alizadeh, Valiollah (2018) The economic impact of the lifting of sanctions on tourism in Iran: a computable general equilibrium analysis. Current Issues in Tourism, 21 (11). pp. 1221-1238. ISSN 1368-3500

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Abstract

The imposition of sanctions on Iran, after the Islamic Revolution in 1979, resulted in economic hardship. Many problems were experienced, such as increased unemployment and high inflation, currency fluctuations and economic instability. One area that was hard hit was the tourism sector. With the lifting of United Nations sanctions on 16 January 2016, there is an opportunity for an increase in international tourists to experience the natural attractions and cultural heritage that Iran has to offer. This research employs a single-country multi-sector computable general equilibrium model to estimate the economic impact of the lifting of sanctions to tourism and the wider economy in Iran. The findings reveal that tourism provides a boost to the economy; however, there are redistributive effects that draw resources away from other export sectors. However, just as in the past where there has been a heavy reliance on oil and natural gas, expanding tourism too quickly will also cause problems. Moderate tourism growth would be the appropriate sustainable path to take.

Item Type:	Journal Article
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General)
Divisions:	Faculty of Business and Economics (FBE) > School of Tourism and Hospitality Management
Depositing User:	Stephen Pratt
Date Deposited:	19 Feb 2019 01:05
Last Modified:	19 Feb 2019 01:05
URI:	https://repository.usp.ac.fj/id/eprint/11218

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